Opta’s supercomputer actually predicts Arsenal will win the league with a 46.2% chance, while Manchester City has a 28.1% chance. However, it’s worth noting that Opta’s projections are based on simulations and should be taken as a general indication rather than a certainty ¹.
In fact, Opta’s predictions earlier this season had Manchester City as overwhelming favorites to win the title, with an 82.2% chance, while Arsenal had a 12.2% chance. The current projections might be influenced by recent performances, including City’s struggles and Arsenal’s strong start ².